Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.041439 0.045017 0.048622 0.052519 0.056607 0.060762 0.065298
2025-10-05 0.034911 0.040123 0.045551 0.051602 0.058135 0.064953 0.072584
2025-10-12 0.030668 0.037083 0.043963 0.051837 0.060542 0.069822 0.080413
2025-10-19 0.027600 0.034954 0.043052 0.052531 0.063225 0.074826 0.088274
2025-10-26 0.025061 0.033143 0.042261 0.053155 0.065662 0.079437 0.095615
2025-11-02 0.021563 0.029916 0.039594 0.051407 0.065220 0.080666 0.099048
2025-11-09 0.019244 0.027896 0.038162 0.050932 0.066100 0.083278 0.103947
2025-11-16 0.017337 0.026226 0.037014 0.050670 0.067126 0.085979 0.108884
2025-11-23 0.016497 0.025823 0.037348 0.052138 0.070155 0.090978 0.116459
2025-11-30 0.015613 0.025288 0.037458 0.053285 0.072766 0.095466 0.123434
2025-12-07 0.014626 0.024541 0.037242 0.053979 0.074794 0.099244 0.129566
2025-12-14 0.013506 0.023533 0.036626 0.054119 0.076105 0.102141 0.134641
2025-12-21 0.012878 0.023194 0.036889 0.055402 0.078876 0.106860 0.141984
2025-12-28 0.011502 0.021704 0.035561 0.054595 0.079016 0.108392 0.145525
2026-01-04 0.010649 0.020912 0.035126 0.054906 0.080532 0.111579 0.151047
2026-01-11 0.010020 0.020408 0.035048 0.055659 0.082588 0.115417 0.157356
2026-01-18 0.009412 0.019891 0.034920 0.056322 0.084514 0.119090 0.163469
2026-01-25 0.008097 0.018162 0.033003 0.054517 0.083214 0.118730 0.164637
2026-02-01 0.007283 0.017173 0.032091 0.054028 0.083579 0.120414 0.168285
2026-02-08 0.006598 0.016342 0.031366 0.053758 0.084204 0.122404 0.172298
2026-02-15 0.006428 0.016384 0.031932 0.055283 0.087196 0.127385 0.180022
2026-02-22 0.006185 0.016278 0.032264 0.056472 0.089745 0.131810 0.187070
2026-03-01 0.005844 0.015971 0.032271 0.057192 0.091663 0.135436 0.193131